While I agree with Don Johnson that Republican Scott Brown is still the underdog in the Massachusetts special election to fill Ted Kennedy's U.S. Senate seat, the latest Rasmussen poll showing some powerful Brown momentum against Martha Coakley (shaving the lead from 9 points to 2 in less than a week) gives me greater hope. And I'm not alone. The conservative gang over at Red State is fired up with confidence (apparently Democratic internal poll numbers are plummeting, too, and signs of panic in the Coakley camp are growing evident). Less than a week now to see how this plays out and affects Obama Care and sets the stage for the 2010 national elections. No doubt this is an important race, and one I'll continue to keep a close eye on. … [Read more...]
Brilliant! Poli Sci Profs Find One Creative Way to Make Obama Care Math Add Up
Yesterday two political science professors -- one from Yale and one from Georgetown -- had a column published in the Washington Post titled "After Massachusetts, why the Democrats should still pass health-care reform." Here is the argument they make (apparently) with a straight face:The bills in Congress hardly enjoy runaway popularity. But the problem isn't that health-care reform itself is unpopular. It is that people are turned off by the current debate about it. And those repelled by what is happening in Washington include a lot of liberals as well as conservatives. In a recent nationwide CNN poll, for example, 10 percent of respondents opposed reform from the left because they felt it was not liberal enough. Another 40 percent … [Read more...]
Rasmussen’s First Post-Ritter Reaction: McInnis Leads All Three Dem Hopefuls
While Coloradans casually wait to see if Interior Secretary Ken Salazar will use his White House permission slip to run for governor in Bill Ritter's place (though Marc Ambinder says it's a no go) -- or leave it to Denver mayor John Hickenlooper or someone else to pick up the slack -- Rasmussen weighs in (H/T Campaign Spot) with the first hard polling data on likely post-Ritter match-ups for Republican frontrunner Scott McInnis: … [Read more...]
GOP Shouldn’t Underestimate John Hickenlooper: How Formidable Is He?
Writing at The Corner on National Review, former Colorado state representative Rob Witwer sounds a note of caution for his fellow Republicans about the new political landscape surrounding the governor's race:When [Denver mayor John] Hickenlooper first ran for office in 2003, the geologist-turned-restaurateur was dismissed by some as a political neophyte. But his humor, approachability, and business savvy helped him dominate in a field of seasoned, longtime Denver politicians — he cruised to victory without breaking a sweat. Since then, he’s enjoyed perhaps the longest honeymoon in Colorado political history. Whether or not Hickenlooper’s longstanding popularity in a one-party city will translate into success in a competitive state race … [Read more...]
Betsy Markey: I voted against TARP before I didn’t vote on it at all
Chalk it up to a slip of the tongue or wishful thinking or just the growing pressures of the 2010 campaign season, but Colorado's Democratic 4th District Congresswoman Betsy Markey got a little bit confused yesterday morning in her appearance on 600 KCOL's "Mornings with Keith and Gail," a local Fort Collins radio talk show: It's not exactly a flip-flop at the caliber of 2004 Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry's "I actually did vote for the $87 billion before I voted against it." But it does make you wonder a bit.... … [Read more...]
Closer Look at Rasmussen: Ken Buck Surging Up, Jane Norton Standing Still
Last week, Republican U.S. Senate candidate and former Lt. Governor Jane Norton received a lot of attention for her 46-37 lead in a new Rasmussen poll over incumbent appointee Michael Bennet. Rossputin did a good job of summarizing the results. One Norton primary challenger, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck, showed a smaller lead of 42-38. Afterward, Buck told RMA blogger Don Johnson that the poll results show he can win in the general election. Even so, what makes the strongest case on Buck's behalf is the trend line. What do I mean? Look at the only clear apples-to-apples comparison: a pair of Rasmussen surveys conducted a few months ago. … [Read more...]
Three-Way GOP Race for Treasurer: Stay Focused on Cary Kennedy
Overshadowed by the big breaking news of the evening, a third Republican has thrown his hat into the ring for the state treasurer's race: Ali Hasan. Rocky Mountain Right reported it six days ago, but the official announcement came by press release earlier this afternoon, with news of a key endorsement:Avon small businessman Ali Hasan will formally announce his intention to be Colorado’s next State Treasurer in seven cities, over two days, starting in Colorado Springs. Republican Minority Leader Mike May will be on hand in Colorado Springs to endorse and introduce Ali Hasan. The 3-way Republican primary for state treasurer still leaves me undecided, but hoping that the primary stays clean and remains focused on unseating Cary "drive a … [Read more...]
Florida’s Marco Rubio and Charlie Crist Poll Even: Is Colorado Watching?
While I was busy yesterday highlighting the Rasmussen momentum for Colorado U.S. Senate candidate Ken Buck's campaign, a truly earth-shattering survey came out from Florida's Republican Senate primary: As Erick Erickson put it, a bomb went off:Last night in Washington, close to one hundred leaders of the conservative movement gathered in a townhouse just down from the United States Capitol to hear Senator Jim DeMint and Florida Speaker Marco Rubio at a Senate Conservatives Fund fundraiser for Marco Rubio. The people in the room for Rubio were the same people who blew up NY-23, helping Doug Hoffman and crushing the chances of a far left Republican, Dede Scozzafava. Just prior to the start of the fundraiser, a bomb went off in Florida. … [Read more...]
BREAKING: Bill Ritter Not to Seek Re-election?
Update III, 7:45 AM: Joshua breaks down the pluses and minuses of potential replacement bids by Hickenlooper and Romanoff. Meanwhile, Michael at Best Destiny tells conservatives: "Don't start celebrating yet" Update II, 10:30 PM: Rossputin offers his analysis of the breaking news and handicaps the early possible Democrat rivals in general election matchups versus Scott McInnis. Rocky Mountain Right has its money on Ken Salazar. Don Johnson at Business Word also weighs in with some thoughts: "Pretty impressive" for McInnis, he writes. Update, 8:15 PM: The decision apparently is not "fundraising related". Is it scandal related? This story will be unfolding for awhile.... Wow, this news should get the local blogosphere buzzing... … [Read more...]
Flashback: Diana DeGette says Hickenlooper “at least as liberal as me”
Sometimes a look back into the recent past can help glean some important insights into the present. Such is the case with Colorado politics and the potential slate of candidates to replace Governor Bill Ritter as the 2010 Democratic nominee for the state's chief executive. Do you remember a little over a year ago when so many Democrats were angling for now-lame duck Ritter's appointment to the U.S. Senate? Like liberal Denver Democrat Congresswoman Diana DeGette -- who has a lifetime American Conservative Union rating of 3.64 out of 100, lower than Barack Obama. In December 2008 she told the Denver Post that mayor and prospective gubernatorial candidate John Hickenlooper is "probably at least as liberal as me": … [Read more...]
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