One of Colorado's best and hardest-working people in new media has gone pro. Michael Sandoval, originally an innovative and successful blogger at Slapstick Politics and more recently managing editor of People's Press Collective, is now on the Colorado 2010 election beat for National Review Online. His first posting helps to get a national audience up to speed on our state's U.S. Senate race. (By the way, thanks to Michael, for the incoming link.) Here's guessing he's not itching to provide similar treatment of Colorado's roller-coaster gubernatorial campaign. Anyway, over the next few months I look forward to good original reporting and more insightful analysis from NRO's home-grown Colorado correspondent. And I encourage my readers … [Read more...]
Denver’s Michael Fallon Embraces Tough Task of Retiring Diana DeGette
Last week I was privileged with the opportunity to sit down and meet Dr. Michael Fallon, the Republican candidate for Colorado's 1st Congressional District. For those in the know, that phrase typically evokes shrugs of apathy. A Republican in the 1st CD? That covers the heart of Denver. The city has been represented by the tag team of Lefty Democratic icons Pat Schroeder and Diana DeGette for a combined 37 years. Republicans has held the office for a total of one two-year term since 1946. According to the Cook Partisan Voting Index, only 49 of 435 Congressional Districts are considered more heavily Democratic. But don't think for a moment that deters the 45-year-old Fallon. "Diana DeGette is out of touch with the district," the … [Read more...]
State Senate Updates: Lefty Group Enters GOP Primary, Dem Running Insurgent Write-In Campaign?
If I've been less than inspired to write much about the governor's race recently, I'm too downright disgusted to follow it now. I'd rather focus in on a couple items following up on my latest projection of Colorado's state senate races: 1. The top-rated race in the state, southwestern Colorado's Republican primary in Senate District 6, took a strange turn this week. I was taken aback by a Rocky Mountain Right diary reporting that an obviously Left-leaning group known as "Colorado Outlook" is sending out mailers attacking conservative candidate Dean Boehler. The group is listed in the Secretary of State database registered under the name of Julie Wells, the bookkeeper for a large share of the Left-leaning, pro-Democrat, and union-founded … [Read more...]
Tom Wiens for Colorado Governor Scenario Unfolding? Don’t Rule It Out
For those who have been paying attention as much as having a half an eye open while trying to sleep, it's no surprise to hear that virtually every conversation I've had in the past several days about the Colorado governor's race (and it's no small number) inevitable lands on the word "disaster." Yes, disaster. Polling numbers bear out what intuition tells us. We've got a Republican primary that will yield either the ethically tainted (but finally agreed to return the $300,000) Scott McInnis or the UN bicycle plot Dan Maes as the gubernatorial nominee. Thrown into the mix is the American Constitution Party's wildcard Tom Tancredo, who certainly won't get out while either McInnis or Maes remains in the fray. Discussing the matter on … [Read more...]
Bernie Buescher Doesn’t Get His Way: Time to Make Military Votes a Priority
Update, 8/28: I have uploaded a copy of the official DoD letter denying Buescher's waiver request. A few weeks ago, Bill Ritter-appointed Secretary of State Bernie Buescher brought his own campaign into the news limelight by requesting a waiver from the law requiring ballots be sent out to military personnel no later than 45 days before the general election. By doing so, Buescher opened the door to accusations that he was trying "to shaft military voters." Last week Brad Jones from Face The State reported on Buescher's national television appearance on Fox News where he sought to justify the waivers, noting:...it’s hard to understand why Buescher is allowing himself to become the national poster boy for military voting snafus when … [Read more...]
Survey: What Should Scott McInnis Do?
Update: Upon further deliberation, I've decided to leave the survey open a little longer. Today's Denver Post editorial calls for Republican gubernatorial candidate Scott McInnis to drop out of the race due to "revelations of extensive plagiarism in work [he] claimed as his own." While the Post has a quick Yes or No poll on its site to determine whether you agree with their editorial stance, I'm interested in a little more information. This morning I created a quick, 6-question, multiple choice survey to see what politically active and knowledgeable readers think should be done, and how it affects the state of the race. Click here to take the survey I will leave the survey open through tomorrow, Thursday, July 16, at 6 PM Mountain … [Read more...]
Colorado SD 6 Primary: Ellen Roberts Looks Far Too Cozy with Obama Care
Update, 8/9 AM: Rep Ellen Roberts' response posted in full at the end of this post. With election day practically here, a strange development has been unearthed in the Colorado Senate District 6 Republican primary between Rep. Ellen Roberts and conservative grassroots candidate Dean Boehler. Hopes of successfully resisting Obama Care mandates and advancing free market health care reform well may hinge in part on the result of this primary. What do I mean? Well, first contrast the two candidates' issue statements on the issue of health care, starting with Boehler:OBAMACARE HEALTH MANDATE Dean strongly supports Colorado's lawsuit to declare ObamaCare UNCONSTITUTIONAL. Dean opposes ObamaCare and favors common sense, free-market … [Read more...]
Ryan Frazier 40, Ed Perlmutter 39: Liberal CD-7 Incumbent Feels the Heat
National Review Online's Michael Sandoval breaks more news this afternoon by bringing our attention to a new Magellan Strategies poll of my own 7th Congressional District. Bottom line: Republican Ryan Frazier edges out incumbent Ed "Don't Call Me Pelosi" Perlmutter, 40-39. Some observations on the survey: The voter sample was 38 percent Democrat, 35 percent Republican and 27 percent Unaffiliated, a reasonable model given expected high GOP voter intensity. If you weight the voting sample in line with actual active voter registrations (which would assume Democrats and independents are as enthused about voting this year as Republicans), Perlmutter still only leads 40-38. In other words, this race is absolutely a statistical tie. The … [Read more...]
Colorado State House Breakdown: Plenty of Tough Races Up for Grabs
On Tuesday I shared an update of the state senate rankings and concluded that Republicans still have a good shot at recapturing the majority (at least before the Scott McInnis fiasco unfolded, the effect of which on down-ticket races remains to be seen). It's time to update the state house rankings, and there are a few changes to report. All 65 seats are up for election this fall, but only about 20 to 30 of the seats have a competitive challenger. Most of those seats currently belong to Democrats, and the Republicans -- needing a net gain of six seats to hold a true majority -- are poised to take advantage. Will the GOP win the majority? Possibly. As it stands now, the numbers suggest Republicans will pick up between 5 and 8 seats. … [Read more...]
Colorado Primary Predictions: My Complete, Final (and Wrong?) Guesses
We are on the eve of Colorado's 2010 primary elections. A couple weeks ago I posted my preferences and prognostications. While my ballot choices haven't changed (I filled them out in ink, after all), but I'd like to issue my complete, revised and final predictions. And yes, I see a lot of close races: U.S. Senate Democratic: Michael Bennet 51, Andrew Romanoff 49 U.S. Senate GOP: Ken Buck 50+, Jane Norton 49+ Governor GOP: Scott McInnis 51, Dan Maes 49 Congressional District 3 GOP: Scott Tipton 59, Bob McConnell 41 Congressional District 7 GOP: Ryan Frazier 58, Lang Sias 42 State Treasurer GOP: Walker Stapleton 51, J.J. Ament 49 State Senate District 6 GOP: Dean Boehler 53, Ellen Roberts 47 State Senate District 20 Democratic: Dave … [Read more...]
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