My friends at R Block Party are putting on their second annual picnic tomorrow afternoon (Wednesday, August 25) as a fundraiser for state house candidates. Many of you know I have devoted several postings to analyze this year's showdown for the Colorado state house and Colorado state senate. Many of these races remain critically important even as they are outshone by higher-profile statewide races (and have become even more important in light of the folly that is the governor's race in this state) -- including the 22 candidates participating at R Block Party tomorrow. The state representatives of today also help form the bench for runs at higher office in the future. The R Block Party's second annual picnic includes a live and silent … [Read more...]
WhoSaidYouSaid Nails Hickenlooper: Your Taxes “as Low as They Can Go”?
Compliments of the creative team at WhoSaidYouSaid, here's a great new video with a candid response from Denver mayor and Colorado Democrat gubernatorial candidate John Hickenlooper: According to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, Hickenlooper currently leads Republican Dan Maes, 41-33, with 3rd-party candidate Tom Tancredo picking up 16 percent. In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, Hickenlooper and Maes are tied at 45. … [Read more...]
Survey: What Should Scott McInnis Do?
Update: Upon further deliberation, I've decided to leave the survey open a little longer. Today's Denver Post editorial calls for Republican gubernatorial candidate Scott McInnis to drop out of the race due to "revelations of extensive plagiarism in work [he] claimed as his own." While the Post has a quick Yes or No poll on its site to determine whether you agree with their editorial stance, I'm interested in a little more information. This morning I created a quick, 6-question, multiple choice survey to see what politically active and knowledgeable readers think should be done, and how it affects the state of the race. Click here to take the survey I will leave the survey open through tomorrow, Thursday, July 16, at 6 PM Mountain … [Read more...]
Colorado SD 6 Primary: Ellen Roberts Looks Far Too Cozy with Obama Care
Update, 8/9 AM: Rep Ellen Roberts' response posted in full at the end of this post. With election day practically here, a strange development has been unearthed in the Colorado Senate District 6 Republican primary between Rep. Ellen Roberts and conservative grassroots candidate Dean Boehler. Hopes of successfully resisting Obama Care mandates and advancing free market health care reform well may hinge in part on the result of this primary. What do I mean? Well, first contrast the two candidates' issue statements on the issue of health care, starting with Boehler:OBAMACARE HEALTH MANDATE Dean strongly supports Colorado's lawsuit to declare ObamaCare UNCONSTITUTIONAL. Dean opposes ObamaCare and favors common sense, free-market … [Read more...]
Rasmussen: Colorado Voters Saying ‘None of the Above’ for Governor?
(H/T Complete Colorado) My jaw nearly dropped to the floor when I saw Curtis Hubbard's coverage of the new Rasmussen poll on the Denver Post's political blog. Likely Colorado voters seem to be demanding another option. Look at the breakdown: John Hickenlooper (D): 36 percent Dan Maes (R): 24 percent Tom Tancredo (AC): 14 percent Do the math. That means not only has support dropped for all three candidates, but that one in four voters isn't settled on any of the choices. Add in those who say they are leaning in one direction or another, and it doesn't get a lot better (in fact, it gets worse if you're Tom Tancredo): John Hickenlooper (D): 40 percent Dan Maes (R): 32 percent Tom Tancredo (AC): 9 percent That still leaves one … [Read more...]
Colorado State House Breakdown: Plenty of Tough Races Up for Grabs
On Tuesday I shared an update of the state senate rankings and concluded that Republicans still have a good shot at recapturing the majority (at least before the Scott McInnis fiasco unfolded, the effect of which on down-ticket races remains to be seen). It's time to update the state house rankings, and there are a few changes to report. All 65 seats are up for election this fall, but only about 20 to 30 of the seats have a competitive challenger. Most of those seats currently belong to Democrats, and the Republicans -- needing a net gain of six seats to hold a true majority -- are poised to take advantage. Will the GOP win the majority? Possibly. As it stands now, the numbers suggest Republicans will pick up between 5 and 8 seats. … [Read more...]
Colorado Primary Predictions: My Complete, Final (and Wrong?) Guesses
We are on the eve of Colorado's 2010 primary elections. A couple weeks ago I posted my preferences and prognostications. While my ballot choices haven't changed (I filled them out in ink, after all), but I'd like to issue my complete, revised and final predictions. And yes, I see a lot of close races: U.S. Senate Democratic: Michael Bennet 51, Andrew Romanoff 49 U.S. Senate GOP: Ken Buck 50+, Jane Norton 49+ Governor GOP: Scott McInnis 51, Dan Maes 49 Congressional District 3 GOP: Scott Tipton 59, Bob McConnell 41 Congressional District 7 GOP: Ryan Frazier 58, Lang Sias 42 State Treasurer GOP: Walker Stapleton 51, J.J. Ament 49 State Senate District 6 GOP: Dean Boehler 53, Ellen Roberts 47 State Senate District 20 Democratic: Dave … [Read more...]
Ryan Frazier Celebrates Primary Victory, Ready to Work to Oust Ed Perlmutter
Update: Video and photos added below the fold. ARVADA -- Victory was in the air before the party for Republican Colorado 7th Congressional candidate Ryan Frazier could really get underway. He even beat my conservative expectations. With 65 percent of precincts reporting, Frazier has a 65-35 lead and a declared victory over honorable second place contender Lang Sias. I am working to upload the video of Frazier's victory speech, but for now here are some transcribed quotes to whet your appetite. (You also can see the official statement on the Frazier website.) … [Read more...]
Ed Perlmutter’s Case for Death Tax Makes Case for His Own Retirement
The WhoSaidYouSaid crew is on a roll of late. Witness the following footage of my soon-to-be-retired liberal Democratic Congressman Ed Perlmutter extolling the virtues of the death tax: … [Read more...]
Survey: 59 Percent Say Scott McInnis Should Quit Governors’ Race
Update, 12:30 PM: Scott McInnis provides an official response to Hasan Family Foundation. Scroll down to the bottom of this post. As promised, the survey on what Scott McInnis should do closed at 9:00 this morning. In all, there were 177 participants -- including 173 registered voters, 93 percent of whom identify as Republicans and 7 percent of whom identify either as unaffiliated or third party (no Democrats participated). A brief summary of the survey results: … [Read more...]
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