Update, 12:30 PM: Scott McInnis provides an official response to Hasan Family Foundation. Scroll down to the bottom of this post. As promised, the survey on what Scott McInnis should do closed at 9:00 this morning. In all, there were 177 participants -- including 173 registered voters, 93 percent of whom identify as Republicans and 7 percent of whom identify either as unaffiliated or third party (no Democrats participated). A brief summary of the survey results: … [Read more...]
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Colorado State House Breakdown: Plenty of Tough Races Up for Grabs
On Tuesday I shared an update of the state senate rankings and concluded that Republicans still have a good shot at recapturing the majority (at least before the Scott McInnis fiasco unfolded, the effect of which on down-ticket races remains to be seen). It's time to update the state house rankings, and there are a few changes to report. All 65 seats are up for election this fall, but only about 20 to 30 of the seats have a competitive challenger. Most of those seats currently belong to Democrats, and the Republicans -- needing a net gain of six seats to hold a true majority -- are poised to take advantage. Will the GOP win the majority? Possibly. As it stands now, the numbers suggest Republicans will pick up between 5 and 8 seats. … [Read more...]
Colorado Republicans Maintain Good Odds of Winning State Senate Majority
It's been two full months since the last ranking of state senate races. A few candidates have been weeded out, and Colorado's primary election is four weeks away. Republicans need to pull off the feat of winning four seats to regain the majority in the 35-seat upper chamber, which means they have to take 5 of the 6 competitive races (out of 19 total this cycle). But it's certainly not outside the realm of possibility. In fact, based on recent fundraising reports, I feel more strongly about my prediction that there's a better than even chance of a GOP takeover. Without further ado, here are the updated rankings of competitive state senate races, based on the likelihood of switching party control: … [Read more...]
Sara Gagliardi’s Fiscally Conservative Face Lift Can’t Fix Poor Voting Record
My state representative Sara Gagliardi is working overtime to try to project a fiscally conservative image in the upcoming election. The fact that the two-term Democrat has probably the most vulnerable seat in the state legislature in 2010 has more than a little to do with this truth-bending media campaign. In the course of one week, Gagliardi has published two pieces in the local press to trump up her credentials. First, her July 1 column in the Arvada Press touts the representative's co-sponsorship of HB 1119, aka the SMART Government Act, which she describes as providing "an innovative strategy to running our state using an approach called performance budgeting." The problem is the bill isn't really that innovative. The Democratic … [Read more...]
Balanced Budget, Obama Care, Space Programs, 2010 Election: Interview with Colorado Congressman Mike Coffman
I was privileged Thursday with the opportunity to conduct a one-on-one phone interview with Congressman Mike Coffman, Republican from Colorado's 6th CD. As co-founder of the Balanced Budget Caucus on Capitol Hill, it's not surprising that Coffman is heavily focused on the importance of this issue. "You have to take the power away from Congress," he told me. "It certainly has worked in some states." Coffman continued that he is "amazed how much overhead there is in the federal bureaucracy. The majority of what we do here has nothing to do with our constitutional responsibilities. It seems like the federal government is involved in every level of government." He believes the Balanced Budget Amendment will "force Congress to deal with … [Read more...]
What About Democrat AG Candidate Stan Garnett’s Union PAC Donation?
Lynn Bartels breathlessly reports that Boulder Democratic Attorney General candidate Stan Garnett has sworn off money from political action committees for his campaign. But a search through Garnett's 2007 district attorney campaign finance reports finds a 2007 contribution from the United Food and Commercial Workers. MSM reporters may want to probe a little deeper and ask some questions to discern whether the Democrats' AG candidate has had a moment of conversion or enlightenment (and if so why), or whether he is just another politician putting cynical hypocrisy on display. Can Garnett say with a straight face that labor union dollars don't count as special interest union PAC money? Inquiring minds want to know. It's not exactly a … [Read more...]
Colorado Republican State Assembly: Review of Winners and Losers
Today was the Colorado Republican State Assembly, and a lot of first-time delegates filled the floor and the seats. Energy and enthusiasm clearly were higher than I've seen in the past few election cycles. I spent much of my time today conducting more than two dozen videotaped interviews of officials, candidates and delegates for the People's Press Collective (check back later for the video). The balloting results already have been posted by El Presidente, Lynn Bartels and Don Johnson. So in the meantime, before the videos go up (as well as a few photos I snapped), I'll share my list of winners and losers from this weekend's festivities, based on my personal assessment: … [Read more...]
Colorado State House Breakdown: Majority Up for Grabs, Tiny GOP Edge
On Thursday I updated the rankings of Colorado's competitive state senate seats. After 15 weeks it's also time to update the Colorado state house rankings. A quick overview: There are 65 seats in the Colorado state house, and all of them are up for re-election every two years. State representatives are limited to four two-year terms of service. Currently, the Democratic majority holds 37 seats and Republicans 27, with one seat belonging to unaffiliated (and former Democrat) Kathleen Curry. Fifty-two incumbents are running to retain their seats: 30 Democrats (including 2 vacancy appointments), 21 Republicans (including 2 vacancy appointments) and Curry. That leaves 7 open Democrat and 6 Republican seats. Interestingly, Colorado … [Read more...]
Colorado 2010 State Senate Showdown: GOP Challengers Gain Momentum
It's been a long time since I offered up rankings of the Colorado state senate races most likely to switch party hands this fall. Now that the latest voter registration numbers are available, campaign finance reports are in and the legislature is out of session, it's time to take a fresh look. Just for review, there are 35 seats in the Colorado state senate, and Democrats possess a decisive 21-14 advantage. State senators serve four-year terms and only come up for election every other cycle, unless there was a vacancy filled and a special election is needed. Nineteen of the 35 seats are up for grabs in 2010: 11 held by Democrats and 8 held by Republicans. Five of the Democrat-held seats and all but one of the Republican-held seats are … [Read more...]
Check Out The Blueprint: Its Political Lessons Are Well Worth Absorbing
Last Tuesday I received a review copy of The Blueprint: How the Democrats Won Colorado (and Why Republicans Everywhere Should Care by award-winning 9News political reporter Adam Schrager and former Republican state representative Rob Witwer. Despite having a lot on my plate, I found time to read the book in two evenings. The book is a quick read but remarkably packed with substance. Political insiders who have followed the past three election cycles in Colorado will find a good amount of familiar material, and may learn a few things on the way. Everyone else, buckle up. The transformation of Colorado's political power structures from Republican to Democratic dominance is a worthwhile and important study -- one that points to the … [Read more...]
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