Do I think Beauprez’s campaign is in bad shape? Yes, I’m not stupid. But the Republican running for governor is NOT trailing by 22 points – as reports the Rocky Mountain News this morning.
Take a closer look at the poll numbers, conveniently released on the day before the Republicans’ big Get-Out-The-Vote kicks off. Among other things, this same survey showed Amendment 43 losing 41-40, which is way off from what other polls have shown. The sample of “likely voters” is 37% Republican, 38% Democrat, and 25% Independent. That turnout model is a little skewed, I suspect. And doing phone polls during the day on Monday through Wednesday will likely distort results, too.
(One other note: The one-note anti-Beauprez vitriol of ToTheRight’s bloggers is most recently manifested in their inability or unwillingness to critically assess a SurveyUSA poll which appears to confirm their gleeful preconceptions. Do you really believe these numbers are accurate? I know you don’t like the GOP’s choice for governor, but think about the effect an uncritical assessment of this polling data may have on other candidates you do support.)
My message to GOP voters & volunteers is not to be affected by the polling reports. The race for governor will be considerably closer, and every vote you make will benefit our other Republican candidates in the battle for the state house, state senate, state treasurer, secretary of state, etc.
Look … even the libs over at ColoradoPols are skeptical of this poll. There will be plenty of time to be upset about the defeats we may experience after Nov. 7, but let’s not get demoralized now and multiply those defeats. There is a lot at stake during the final 96 hours.
The game plan for the Democrats and their friends in teh media this year is to discourage the Republicans into low turnout.
The recent accusations about the Pastor and Evangelical leader is meant to do the same. Nothing will make me happier than to see a huge R turnout next week.
I may even party into the evening and have to take the day off.
Very informative site…
My name is Mark Johnson, and I’ve been visiting your site for past few months
I’m a recent UC Berkeley Political science grad and I along with some fellow Princeton alums have been working hard to launch our own internet startup called Rizzleweb.com.
Rizzleweb is basically an online political community where people can log on and write performance reviews\comments for congressmen, senators, the president, and various other local and state officials across the country. I was hoping that if it would not be too much trouble you could place a link of our site on your blog. If this is not possible (which we completely understand), we still hope you will check out our site, and post some reviews.
Your contribution will encourage us to put more effort in improving our website.
Mark Johnson
http://www.Rizzleweb.com
markjohnson2020@hotmail.com
Ben,
Ben you should read this story.
http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/elections/article/0,2808,DRMN_24736_5121392,00.html
I can e-mail you the pictures later.