2010 Election Predictions

ELECTION DAY NOTE: I will be providing Election Night coverage here, including quotes and photos as available. I am working with a collaborative of organizations on this project — including Independence Institute, People’s Press Collective, Complete Colorado, Who Said You Said, Mothers Against Debt and National Review Online. Go here for the relevant details (including a live video feed), and stay tuned for the best in Colorado grassroots conservative political coverage!

Update, 9:00 AM: Despite all appearances, the latest Fox News/Public Opinion Research poll and I did not crib answers off each other. If we’re both off the mark, we’re off the mark together.

Update II, 12:30 PM: Minor tweak to the governor’s race predictions.

Following the most bizarre and unpredictable political campaign season in recent memory, I’ve decided to do the unthinkable and venture some predictions on results. Please note that I am venturing educated guesses with my head, not my heart. (If you want to get involved in some of the action yourself, Rossputin is hosting a general election prediction game.) Now without further ado, first the Colorado statewide races:

  • U.S. Senate: Ken Buck 50, Michael Bennet 46
  • Governor: John Hickenlooper 46 47, Tom Tancredo 44 45, Dan Maes 6
  • Secretary of State: Scott Gessler 48, Bernie Buescher 43, Amanda Campbell 9
  • Attorney General: John Suthers 56, Stan Garnett 44
  • State Treasurer: Walker Stapleton 51, Cary Kennedy 49

Next, a few of Colorado’s Congressional races:

  • CD-4: Cory Gardner 53, Betsy Markey 43
  • CD-3: Scott Tipton 52, John Salazar 47
  • CD-7: Ryan Frazier 49, Ed Perlmutter 48.5 [or closer]

And finally, the big picture midterm changes:

  • U.S. House: GOP gain +65
  • U.S. Senate: GOP gain +9
  • Colorado House: GOP gain +9
  • Colorado Senate: GOP gain +4

Enjoy Election Night!

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