What's that sound I hear? A bounce for McCain-Palin from the Republican National Convention that exceeded my expectations (H/T Rocky Mountain Right). A 10-point lead among likely voters ... seriously? At this point, it's an outlier, but the trend is undeniable. The Republican ticket leads in the Real Clear Politics average (which includes McCain's 1-point Rasmussen edge and 3-point Gallup Tracking Poll lead but not his 4-point tilt from Zogby) for the first time in about six months. There's a lot of campaigning left to do, but John McCain is in significantly better shape at this point than almost anyone would have forecast him doing. As I see it, the Presidential contest has moved from "Obama's race to lose" to "a toss-up." I'll take … [Read more...]