Magellan: Good to be Colo. Republican Not Named Maes; Reset Election Odds

The reliable in-state Magellan Strategies polling firm today released the results of last week's voter interviews on Colorado statewide races. Taking the pulse of 954 likely voters, they found not surprisingly that John Hickenlooper has a wide lead over Republican Dan Maes (and an even wider lead over third-party Tom Tancredo) -- though some small amount of Hick's support may have been eroded in the intervening few days before the latest Rasmussen poll was taken. But I'm more interested in bringing attention to the down-ticket races, which Magellan features in its top line results, as follows: Republican Attorney General John Suthers holds a commanding 47-32 lead over Democratic challenger Stan Garnett Democratic State Treasurer Cary … [Read more...]

Rasmussen: Colorado Voters Saying ‘None of the Above’ for Governor?

(H/T Complete Colorado) My jaw nearly dropped to the floor when I saw Curtis Hubbard's coverage of the new Rasmussen poll on the Denver Post's political blog. Likely Colorado voters seem to be demanding another option. Look at the breakdown: John Hickenlooper (D): 36 percent Dan Maes (R): 24 percent Tom Tancredo (AC): 14 percent Do the math. That means not only has support dropped for all three candidates, but that one in four voters isn't settled on any of the choices. Add in those who say they are leaning in one direction or another, and it doesn't get a lot better (in fact, it gets worse if you're Tom Tancredo): John Hickenlooper (D): 40 percent Dan Maes (R): 32 percent Tom Tancredo (AC): 9 percent That still leaves one … [Read more...]

Ryan Frazier 40, Ed Perlmutter 39: Liberal CD-7 Incumbent Feels the Heat

National Review Online's Michael Sandoval breaks more news this afternoon by bringing our attention to a new Magellan Strategies poll of my own 7th Congressional District. Bottom line: Republican Ryan Frazier edges out incumbent Ed "Don't Call Me Pelosi" Perlmutter, 40-39. Some observations on the survey: The voter sample was 38 percent Democrat, 35 percent Republican and 27 percent Unaffiliated, a reasonable model given expected high GOP voter intensity. If you weight the voting sample in line with actual active voter registrations (which would assume Democrats and independents are as enthused about voting this year as Republicans), Perlmutter still only leads 40-38. In other words, this race is absolutely a statistical tie. The … [Read more...]

Bernie Buescher Doesn’t Get His Way: Time to Make Military Votes a Priority

Update, 8/28: I have uploaded a copy of the official DoD letter denying Buescher's waiver request. A few weeks ago, Bill Ritter-appointed Secretary of State Bernie Buescher brought his own campaign into the news limelight by requesting a waiver from the law requiring ballots be sent out to military personnel no later than 45 days before the general election. By doing so, Buescher opened the door to accusations that he was trying "to shaft military voters." Last week Brad Jones from Face The State reported on Buescher's national television appearance on Fox News where he sought to justify the waivers, noting:...it’s hard to understand why Buescher is allowing himself to become the national poster boy for military voting snafus when … [Read more...]

WhoSaidYouSaid Nails Hickenlooper: Your Taxes “as Low as They Can Go”?

Compliments of the creative team at WhoSaidYouSaid, here's a great new video with a candid response from Denver mayor and Colorado Democrat gubernatorial candidate John Hickenlooper: According to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, Hickenlooper currently leads Republican Dan Maes, 41-33, with 3rd-party candidate Tom Tancredo picking up 16 percent. In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, Hickenlooper and Maes are tied at 45. … [Read more...]

Support State House Candidates at R Block Party Event: It’s That Important

My friends at R Block Party are putting on their second annual picnic tomorrow afternoon (Wednesday, August 25) as a fundraiser for state house candidates. Many of you know I have devoted several postings to analyze this year's showdown for the Colorado state house and Colorado state senate. Many of these races remain critically important even as they are outshone by higher-profile statewide races (and have become even more important in light of the folly that is the governor's race in this state) -- including the 22 candidates participating at R Block Party tomorrow. The state representatives of today also help form the bench for runs at higher office in the future. The R Block Party's second annual picnic includes a live and silent … [Read more...]

Colorado Cost of Government Day

According to Americans for Tax Reform, today (Saturday, August 21) is Colorado's official Cost of Government Day (the national Cost of Government Day was Thursday):This is the day on which the average American has earned enough gross income to pay off his or her share of the spending and regulatory burdens imposed by government at the federal, state, and local levels. The cost of government at all levels consumes about 64 percent of the average Coloradan's gross income (compared to the national average of 63.41 percent). There's a less-than-inspiring thought for the day. If that doesn't help focus your energies on advancing liberty and limited government for the upcoming fall elections, I'm not sure what will. … [Read more...]

Ed Perlmutter’s Bush-Bashing Overlooked in 7th CD Debate Coverage

Update, 8/21: Lynn Bartels' story in today's edition of the Post fills out a little bit more detail and gives more attention to both the major party candidates... including a lede that identifies Perlmutter's Bush-bashing blameshifting (which makes the headline above obsolete). Guess the blog focus on the Libertarian candidate was supposed to be the teaser for today's story (?). I also was promised some video footage from the Frazier campaign, and will post that here when it arrives. This morning featured the first showdown of Colorado 7th Congressional candidates at a chamber of commerce-sponsored debate. It was practically in my backyard, but who has $20 or more to swing for such luxuries? The only coverage of the debate I've found … [Read more...]

Tea Party / Liberty Group Leaders, Chime In On State Legislative Races

To the extent that I have communicated with leaders of Colorado Tea Parties and other liberty groups, I have sought to emphasize the importance of making an impact on state legislative races. In fact, followers of this blog know I have put out several updates ranking the likelihood of seats changing in the state senate and state house. My next, and likely final, analyses are slated to come out in September. Anyway, Ballotpedia's Leslie Graves this week announces a study that should attract significant interest and involvement: "Is the tea party movement impacting state legislative elections?" More information is here, including a direct link to a survey that I encourage all Colorado Tea Party and other liberty group leaders to chime in … [Read more...]

Clear The Bench Colorado Poll Results: Classic Case of Good News, Bad News

Clear the Bench Colorado today reports the results of a statewide poll that carries some good and bad news. Because the Magellan Strategies survey tests public opinion on the low-exposure issue of judicial retention, to some extent the results would have to be interesting. We're not talking about the popularity of candidates vying in well-publicized elections, which often feature a significant undecided vote. What do you do when 65 percent of likely voters confess they don't even know three Colorado Supreme Court justices are up for retention? You've got to get the message out. Well, for the 894 voters tested from all around Colorado, learning a little basic information makes a difference: … [Read more...]